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Showing posts with label SUBMARINES. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SUBMARINES. Show all posts

Thursday, September 23, 2021

POLITICO NIGHTLY: Biden goes back to foreign policy school

 


 
POLITICO Nightly logo

BY RENUKA RAYASAM

Presented by

ANNOYED ALLIES — President Joe Biden’s pledges on Covid and climate change at the United Nations General Assembly meeting this week have done little to address criticism that the current president’s foreign policy is not all that different from former President Donald Trump’s ‘America first’ approach.

Biden, who chaired the foreign relations committee as a senator, promised during his 2020 campaign to reset the country’s transatlantic relationship with Europe and to restore America’s position as a global leader. Yet the Biden administration has fractured the United States’ relationship with France by muscling into a submarine deal with Australia and faced intense international condemnation for its swift, unilateral withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Nightly chatted with Ryan Heath, author of the Global Insider newsletter and host of the podcast of the same name, over Slack today about the U.S. place in the world after the first nine months of the Biden administration. This conversation has been edited.

Biden wanted to reset America’s relationship with its allies. How’s he doing this week with that?

It’s clear that most are relieved to not be dealing with Trump, but they’re increasingly frustrated with Biden: either at lack of consultation, or at the gap between his warm words alongside lack of delivery.

President Joe Biden addresses the 76th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York.

President Joe Biden addresses the 76th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at U.N. headquarters in New York. | Eduardo Munoz/Pool Photo via AP

Any signs that Biden can turn things around with allies after a rocky few months?

Biden’s in control of that. Only the very poorest countries need vaccine charity: The vast majority just want to buy them on the open market, for example. Europeans don’t get why there are still tariffs on their goods. There’s no obvious economic reason or political benefit for Biden from keeping them. Biden could flip those switches any day he wants.

Didn’t Biden pitch himself as a foreign policy expert?

To be fair, Biden doesn’t have it easy at home. Having virtually no ambassadors in place doesn’t help. That makes it harder to be effective abroad when issues like Covid and climate are politically polarized.

There’s also a changing of the guard in many countries. There are plenty of national leaders now in their 30s. They weren’t even born when Biden was a beast in the Senate. Some of it is down to handling: I hear repeatedly from allies that they feel misled on Afghanistan; the French feel they were actively lied to on the sub deal. It’s not that hard to pick up the phone.

Some of it is down to the rest of the world having more options than it did during the Cold War. The EU is bigger and stronger. China has a lot of cash to throw around. America carries the burden of being the world’s policeman and benefactor, but isn’t necessarily anyone’s automatic choice as best friend.

After three administrations urging allies to be more independent and self-sustaining, D.C is now learning what it’s like for those allies to use that new power to push back.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas for us at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at rrayasam@politico.com and on Twitter at @RenuRayasam.

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FROM THE AUDIO DESK

‘THE U.N. DOES ACTUALLY MATTER’— Ryan is capturing the madness of the UNGA this week, accompanied by his sidekick, producer Olivia Reingold, in the Global Insider podcast. Check it out Thursday to listen to his interview with Colombian president Iván Duque Márquez. Listen to his conversation earlier this week with his go-to “U.N. whisperer,” Richard Gowan of the Crisis Group.

Play audio

UNGA Dispatch 1: Covid precautions and fears dominate Day One

WHAT'D I MISS?

— FDA authorizes booster shot of Pfizer Covid vaccine: The Food and Drug Administration formally authorized a booster dose of Pfizer and BioNTech’s Covid-19 vaccine today for people 65 and older and those at high risk of severe illness because of underlying health conditions or “frequent institutional or occupational exposure.”

— Fed signals plan to pull back economic support: The Federal Reserve signaled today it is on track to begin withdrawing some of its extraordinary support for the U.S. economy later this year, even though officials are more pessimistic about the outlook for growth and job creation as the resurgent coronavirus weighs on the country. Fully half of the Fed’s 18 policymakers penciled in the possibility of an interest rate hike next year.

Courtesy of POLITICO

— Biden announces ‘partnership’ with EU on global vaccine distribution effort: Biden said the partnership will allow the EU and U.S. “to work more closely together” and that one of its bedrock principles will be committing to “donating, not selling” vaccine doses to less-affluent countries. He also made official his administration’s plan to purchase another 500 million vaccine doses to distribute to some of the world’s poorest nations, bringing the United States’ total commitment to 1.1 billion doses.

— Powell vows to tighten Fed ethics rules after stock trading uproar: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell pledged that the central bank will strengthen its ethics rules today after an outcry surrounding financial trades during the pandemic by two top policymakers. The trades by Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren have sparked calls by some progressive groups for their resignation and a push by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) to ban all trading on individual stocks by Fed officials.

— Prosecutors to seek testimony of former Nevada AG in trial of Giuliani associate: Prosecutors plan to call former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt — the frontrunner for the Republican nomination in a crucial 2022 Senate race — to testify in the upcoming criminal trial of Lev Parnas, an associate of Rudy Giuliani who became a central figure in the 2019 impeachment of Trump.

— Trump sues niece, NYT over 2018 tax records investigation: Trump is suing The New York Times, three of its journalists and his niece, Mary Trump — alleging she violated the terms of a 2001 family settlement agreement by turning over some of his tax records to the newspaper for a 2018 article and by publishing a 2020 tell-all book that contained other confidential information.

 

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ON THE HILL

BIDEN AT HOME  Biden held a series of meetings with key Democrats today, including House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer as party leaders try to salvage their two-part domestic agenda — a massive social safety net expansion and bipartisan infrastructure bill — during a fresh round of hostage-taking from centrist and progressive members. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) said during his meeting with Biden, the president told him, “Please, just work on it. Give me a number, and tell me what you can live with and what you can’t,” according to POLITICO’s Marianne LeVine.

IRON DOME FUNDING FEUD The top House Democrat on Appropriations introduced a bill today that would provide $1 billion for Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system, after the funding was abruptly pulled Tuesday from a government funding package.

Democrats were forced to toss the money from a stopgap spending bill aimed at avoiding a government shutdown at the end of the month after objections from progressives. The incident, which temporarily derailed a vote on the continuing resolution, illustrated the long-simmering internal tensions within the party over supporting Israel, a longtime U.S. ally in the Middle East.

Appropriations Chair Rosa DeLauro initially promised to include the funding in a year-end appropriations package, which would require lengthy bipartisan negotiations and isn’t guaranteed to materialize. But as more moderate Democrats called for the restoration of the funding, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer pledged to call for a vote later this week.

POLICE REFORM TALKS CRUMBLE — The bipartisan police reform talks have officially collapsed after Sens. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and Tim Scott (R-S.C.) and Rep. Karen Bass (D-Calif.) spent months trying to reach an agreement with little progress. The negotiators had moved their self-imposed deadline for coming to a deal several times, but the differences between both sides ultimately proved too vast.

Among the key sticking points was reforming qualified immunity, which shields police officers from civil liability for misdeeds. Negotiators hit a stalemate on that provision and ultimately decided to take it off the table this summer. Instead, they focused on a “slimmed down” version of the legislation but even that proved too difficult.

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

More than $450 billion

The amount of money the Congressional Budget Office estimates Pelosi’s drug pricing plan, which would direct the government to negotiate prices on a set number of high-cost drugs, could save over 10 years. Pfizer’s CEO sent a video message to company employees urging them to fight proposed government drug price negotiations and expressing frustration with Congress, which is considering using the projected savings to help pay for a $3.5 trillion social spending package.

 

JOIN THURSDAY FOR A WOMEN RULE CONVERSATION ON ENDING SEXUAL ASSAULT IN THE MILITARY: Sexual assault in the military has been an issue for years, and political leaders are taking steps to address it. Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) and Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) proposed bipartisan legislation to overhaul military sexual assault policies, but still face opposition. Join Women Rule for a virtual interview featuring Sens. Ernst and Gillibrand, who will discuss their legislative push and what it will take to end sexual assault and sexual harassment in the military. REGISTER HERE.

 
 


PARTING WORDS

OPINION: THE DEBT CEILING DOOMSDAY CULT — An apocalyptic mood sweeps over the congressional press corps every couple of years as the federal government approaches its debt ceiling and representatives and senators meet to bicker over whether to raise the ceiling, temporarily suspend it or perform other legislative magic to finance the workings of the U.S. government, writes senior media writer Jack Shafer.

Take, for example, this page one, above-the-fold lede from the Sept. 22 edition of the Washington Post, which all but unleashes the Seven Plagues on mankind and tosses the unbelievers into a lake of fire.

If you were new to the subgenre of debt-ceiling journalism, the tone of this piece might be enough to encourage you to make like a doomsday prepper, liquidate your market positions and start stockpiling rations, batteries, water and weapons. Because it’s true that a default on the federal debt would fracture the economy and unleash a blood-dimmed tide over humanity — but it’s equally true that such a calamity has never happened, won’t happen this time and will likely never happen because members of Congress who love to play chicken never follow through. They always chicken out.

The debt-ceiling squabble is ugly. It’s potentially perilous. And nerve-wracking for financial markets. But it’s not about to uncork a Book of Revelation-type cataclysm. We’ll muddle through as we always do. It’s only a matter of what the Democrats will surrender in order to bring peace back to the kingdom.

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Monday, September 20, 2021

Trump schemes to take McConnell out

 

Today’s Action: Stop the Line 3 oil sands pipeline!


Pfizer says COVID vaccine is safe and effective for kids ages 5 to 11

Today's Top Stories:

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Trump actively recruiting senators to "depose" Mitch McConnell as the GOP leader

The disgraced ex-president is still reportedly furious that McConnell did nothing to stand in the way of Joe Biden's certification, because self-obsession is a hell of a drug.

Take Action: Tell Congress to expand Medicare!


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VIDEO OF THE DAY: Mississippi governor crumbles after getting called out for his worst-in-the-US response to COVID

Gov. Tate Reeves just gave a master class in what not to say when you're overseeing the worst response in the nation to the pandemic.

Take Action: Demand Fox be held liable for vaccine disinformation that’s getting people killed!


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Support Charles Booker — the progressive Senate candidate with a real shot at unseating Rand Paul

Charles Booker: This. This is our chance to flip Kentucky blue and send America's worst senator packing.


Senate parliamentarian ruling likely sinks Democrats immigration efforts in 2021
Senate Democrats likely will not be able to include a pathway to legalization for millions of immigrants in their $3.5 trillion bill to expand the country's social safety net after new guidance from the Senate parliamentarian Sunday night.

Take Action: Tell President Biden to tax the wealthy to fund the infrastructure plan!


$100,000 donation by Matt Gaetz raises all the eyebrows
On the day Trump’s second impeachment trial began in the Senate, the campaign for embattled Rep. Matt Gaetz — currently under federal investigation since the summer for alleged sex crimes with an underage teen — made by far its largest ever political contribution: $100,000 to a mysterious nonprofit created to defend the then-president.


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Beto planning Texas comeback in governor’s race

O'Rourke's entry into the race would give Democrats a high-profile candidate with a national fundraising network to challenge Republican Gov. Greg Abbott in the Lone Star State.

Take Action: Demand the Texas legislature overturn the Governor deadly decision to lift the mask mandate!


Fauci says Americans should stay away from COVID-19 booster shots until they're eligible
Some people have been seeking a third shot before the official sign-off.


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Centrists pull FATAL stunt

No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen: Beyond dangerous.


Joe Manchin wants to push Biden’s social-spending package to the back burner
Manchin’s new timeline — if he insists on it — would disrupt plans by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer to vote on the sweeping budget reconciliation package this month.


Nearly 900 state legislators urge Supreme Court to uphold Roe v. Wade in major abortion case
Arguments in the case involving Mississippi's 15-week abortion ban are scheduled to begin this fall.

Take Action: Add your name to repeal the Hyde Amendment and make abortion safe, legal, and affordable!


France's Emmanuel Macron to talk to Biden amid "grave crisis" over nuclear submarine deal with Australia
Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said Sunday that France "would have had every reason to know that we have deep and grave concerns" about the capability of France's Attack class subs, which he said cold not meet Australia's strategic interests.


Trump Organization back in court fighting tax fraud charges
Another week, another round of court hearings for the former guy's inner circle.


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Seriously?

Yes. Seriously.

Hope...


Today’s Action: Stop the Line 3 oil sands pipeline!

It should have been enough that recent Line 3 oil sands pipeline permits were granted by lackeys in the Trump administration that believe climate change is a hoax, or that doing so broke treaties made with First Nations, or that a code red report on climate change should have the entire planet working to end our reliance on fossil fuels, but, in defiance of all good reason, construction continues on the dangerous Line 3 pipeline. 

Just last Thursday, the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources ordered Enbridge Energy, the pipeline’s owner, to pay $3.3 million for already damaging a sensitive aquifer during construction for Line 3 after the company dug 8 feet deeper than they told the state they would. It’s clear that Enbridge does not feel bound to any sort of environmental regulations, and President Biden has an obligation to end construction on Line 3 immediately, 

The Line 3 pipeline is more than just a mistake — it’s a gamble with some of our most sensitive ecosystems and marginalized communities. Write President Biden and tell him to make good on his climate campaign promises and stop construction on Line 3 now! Send him this petition with more than 50,000 signatures calling for the Line 3 permit to be revoked! 

While President Biden could revoke the federal permits issued by the Trump administration that the pipeline depends on, he has yet to do so. We need our elected leaders to aggressively tackle climate change. The past several months alone of unprecedented drought, flooding, heatwaves, and devastating storms illustrate the need for immediate, meaningful action. 

If completed, Line 3 would be one of the largest crude oil pipelines in the world. Which means that 915,000 barrels of tar sands crude, some of the Earth’s dirtiest oil, would traverse delicate wetlands, rice beds, and lakes daily, in violation of First Nations treaties and at great peril to our environment.

Write President Biden and tell him not to choose oil over our planet and our First Nation communities. Demand he revoke federal construction permits for Line 3 now!

PS — Please don't forget to sign the petition censuring McConnell for voting to acquit Trump and then admitting he was guilty, and be sure to follow OD Action on Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram.





Sunday, September 19, 2021

RSN: Right-Wing Conspiracy Rally Collapses Under Weight of Right-Wing Conspiracies

 


 

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19 September 21

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People arrive to attend a rally near the U.S. Capitol in Washington, Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021. The rally was planned by allies of former President Donald Trump and aimed at supporting the so-called 'political prisoners' of the Jan. 6 insurrection at the Capitol. (photo: Alex Brandon/AP)
Right-Wing Conspiracy Rally Collapses Under Weight of Right-Wing Conspiracies
Peter Wade, Rolling Stone
Wade writes: "A rally for supporters of the 'Big Lie' is looking like a big flop."

The lackluster attendance may be connected to conspiracy theories that the event was a “false flag” or “honeypot” for federal agents to entrap and arrest attendees

A rally for supporters of the “Big Lie” is looking like a big flop.

Reports from the start of the “Justice for J6” rally Saturday show an event much smaller than the January 6th Capitol insurrection. Video from on-scene reporters appears to show more members of the media in attendance than Trump-supporting protesters. Although Capitol Police expected as many as 1,000 attendees, and organizers obtained permits for a group of 700, the final turnout looks like it will be much lower, according to reports on the ground.


The rally is organized by a nonprofit, “Look Ahead America,” that is led by a former Trump campaign aid Matt Braynard. The group’s mission is “standing up for patriotic Americans who have been forgotten by our government,” according to its website, which means “training citizens to lobby their state and local governments for America First causes” in addition to “ensuring voter integrity.” Because of the event’s connection to January 6th, the FBI warned that attendees “may seek to engage in violence” but said there were no indications of a “specific or credible plot associated with the event.”

The lack of attendance could be connected with conspiracy theories about the rally pushed by Trump and other right-wingers. Users on extremist forums on platforms like TheDonald and 4chan, NBC News reported, were warning potential attendees that they believed the event was a “false flag” or “honeypot” where federal agents will entrap Trump supporters into committing violence.

In an interview with The Federalist on Thursday, the former president echoed conspiracy theories that the event was a “setup.” “On Saturday, that’s a setup,” Trump said. “If people don’t show up they’ll say, ‘Oh, it’s a lack of spirit.’ And if people do show up they’ll be harassed.”

But immediately afterward, the former president also issued a statement saying: “Our hearts and minds are with the people being persecuted so unfairly relating to the January 6th protest concerning the Rigged Presidential Election. In addition to everything else, it has proven conclusively that we are a two-tiered system of justice. In the end, however, JUSTICE WILL PREVAIL!”

It’s probable that Trump was covering his ass here, setting himself up for credit had turnout been huge while also being able to distance himself from the event in case it fails. After all, few things are more Trumpian than taking credit for others’ success and refusing accountability for his own failures.

According to Capitol Police, approximately 400 to 450 people, including the media, were inside the protest area during today’s event.


READ MORE


The Filibuster's Fate Is Already Decided. Just Look to the 2022 Democratic Senate Candidates.Senators Manchin and Sinema. (photo: Getty Images)

The Filibuster's Fate Is Already Decided. Just Look to the 2022 Democratic Senate Candidates.
Paul Blumenthalm, HuffPost
Blumenthalm writes: "The Senate's filibuster rules requiring 60 votes to start or end debate on most legislation may survive this fall's fight over voting rights legislation, but its future is bleak."

The Senate’s filibuster rules requiring 60 votes to start or end debate on most legislation may survive this fall’s fight over voting rights legislation, but its future is bleak. Every Senate Democratic candidate running in an open-seat race or looking to unseat a sitting Republican senator has embraced filibuster reform in some fashion.

Supporting filibuster reform is now a must-have position in a Democratic primary.

This is true in highly contested races in swing states, like the open-seat race in Pennsylvania and the possible challenge to incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson in Wisconsin, if he chooses to run for reelection. It’s also the case in the more challenging environments of GOP-leaning states such as Kentucky, Missouri and Ohio.

“It’s a combination of some bolder people running for office and a recognition throughout most of the Democratic Party establishment and up-and-coming candidates that we’re in asymmetric warfare where the Republican agenda, from taxes and judges, can pass with 50 votes while the Democratic agenda needs 60 votes,” said Adam Green, co-founder of the Progressive Change Campaign Committee.

The filibuster is protected at the moment by proponents like Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.). But the trend toward incoming freshman Democratic senators supporting filibuster reform means that a future Democratic Senate majority would be less constrained in how it addresses the Senate rule that has been used historically to block civil rights laws and more recently to smother the agendas of Democratic Party presidents.

“The filibuster is not going to be here in five years either because Democrats will have expanded their majority with candidates like these or because Republicans take over and end the filibuster themselves,” said Eli Zupnick, spokesman for Fix Our Senate, the main filibuster reform coalition.

In Pennsylvania, which is Democrats’ likeliest pickup opportunity with Republican Sen. Pat Toomey’s retirement, the party’s candidates across the ideological spectrum are in an arms race for who can oppose the filibuster the most.

Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, who is running as an unabashed progressive, has made opposition to the filibuster a central focus of his campaign with frequent tweets on the matter and Facebook ads raising money off it. The rule blocks Fetterman’s top priorities like raising the minimum wage to $15passing voting rights legislation and enshrining abortion rights into law, he has tweeted.

“Stop apologizing for the space we take up as a party and ram some stuff through and get it done,” Fetterman told CNN in a recent interview.

Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.), who pitches himself as a more moderate candidate for Toomey’s seat, also backs ending or changing the Senate’s filibuster rules. He expressed support of changing the chamber’s rules after Senate Republicans filibustered the bill to create a bipartisan special committee to investigate the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol inspired by Donald Trump’s election fraud lies and effort to overturn his loss to Joe Biden.

“They’ve made us choose between protecting our Capitol & our democracy, or a procedural tool that isn’t in the Constitution,” Lamb tweeted on May 29 after Republicans blocked the special committee bill. “The filibuster has to go.”

Senate hopeful and state Rep. Malcolm Kenyatta, who represents a North Philadelphia district, has also called for the elimination of the filibuster. He appeared at an August rally in Washington in support of changing the Senate’s filibuster rules to pass voting rights legislation.

“The filibuster has been used repeatedly to block civil rights legislation,” Kenyatta tweeted in January. “It should be ended. I’m not open to changing my mind.”

The Wisconsin Senate Democratic primary also features multiple candidates who all want to scrap the filibuster. Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, who recently entered the race and leads in the latest polls, is a strong opponent of the filibuster, tweeting in August: “Meaningful legislation starts with ending the filibuster.” All of the other candidates in the race ― Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson, state Treasurer Sarah Godlewski, Milwaukee Bucks Senior Vice President Alex Lasry and others ― have all stated their support for either ending the filibuster or changing it in some way.

The same is true in Florida, where Rep. Val Demings and former Rep. Alan Grayson both support changing the filibuster. So do all Democratic candidates in Senate races in Iowa, Kentucky, Missouri and Ohio.

“I have no question that we have to make sure that our Senate is actually doing their job and getting things done, and if things like the filibuster are standing in the way of us actually passing real legislation that stands up and works for working families, it absolutely needs to be reformed and addressed,” former Rep. Abby Finkenauer, who’s running for Senate in Iowa, told HuffPost. “It’s not even a question.”

The only race where filibuster reform has become evenly remotely controversial is in North Carolina, where state Sen. Jeff Jackson, former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley and former state Sen. Erica Smith are running for the chance to fill the open seat left by retiring Republican Sen. Richard Burr.

The first controversy emerged with Jackson, who initially stated his position on the filibuster as dependent on the level of obstruction deployed by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.).

“If [McConnell] chooses to treat [the filibuster] in any manner remotely resembling what he did with it the last time he had the opportunity and just bring everything to a halt, it’s gone,” Jackson told local cable channel Spectrum News in January. “I think it’s hanging by a thread right now, and I think that’s the best case you can make for it.”

Then in April, Jackson posted a Twitter thread criticizing Manchin for stating his opposition to changing the Senate’s filibuster rules.

“This is an incredibly reckless position from Sen. Manchin, given that Sen. McConnell believes he has no political incentive to work with Dems on major legislation,” Jackson tweeted. “I guess you can send him a bunch of emails if you want ... or you can just elect me and we’re good here.”

The National Republican Senatorial Committee took the opportunity to attack Jackson for what it called flip-flopping on his filibuster position to try to match the progressive Smith’s anti-filibuster bona fides. Jackson clarified to PolitiFact in April that he remains “filibuster-skeptical,” but would want to see changes to the rules if McConnell and Republicans filibustered voting rights legislation, which they have since done twice.

The second filibuster controversy occurred after The Daily Beast reported on Beasley lauding the filibuster in a video call with supporters.

“The reality is it has in many ways benefited Democrats and people across North Carolina,” Beasley said about the filibuster.

In response, a spokesperson for Beasley’s campaign clarified to The Daily Beast that she supports “a carve out for legislation to support voting rights” and “would consider broader reforms to the filibuster.”

In each of these instances, the candidate caught in a controversy over their filibuster position clarified in favor of changing it.

The blanket support for changing filibuster rules among Democrats running in competitive races indicates support is growing within the party for some kind of change. If the filibuster rules aren’t altered to accommodate voting rights today, greater changes loom in the future.


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Recalling of French Ambassador 'Puts Big Rift in NATO Alliance'Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian called the decision 'contrary to the spirit and letter of the cooperation between France and Australia.' (photo: Sia Kambou/AFP/Getty Images)

Recalling of French Ambassador 'Puts Big Rift in NATO Alliance'
Kim Willsher, Guardian UK
Willsher writes: "France's historic decision to recall its ambassadors to the US and Australia is far more than a diplomatic spat, analysts have warned."
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UN Report Predicts Climate Catastrophe, Absent Major ActionToxic vapor pours from a chimney at a power plant in Belchatow, Poland. (photo: Piotr Malecki/Bloomberg/Getty Images)

UN Report Predicts Climate Catastrophe, Absent Major Action
Ben Adler, Yahoo! News
Adler writes: "A United Nations report released Thursday compiles the latest scientific findings on climate change and shows a gathering disaster unless nations take swift, dramatic action to curb greenhouse gas emissions."

A United Nations report released Thursday compiles the latest scientific findings on climate change and shows a gathering disaster unless nations take swift, dramatic action to curb greenhouse gas emissions.

The report's key message is that global warming is occurring more rapidly, and with more quickly worsening effects, than most past models had predicted. Within the next five years, there is a 40 percent chance that the world may breach the threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming previously identified by scientists and world governments as the hoped-for limit.

“We have reached a tipping point on the need for climate action. The disruption to our climate and our planet is already worse than we thought, and it is moving faster than predicted,” U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said in a video message that accompanied the release of the report. “This report shows just how far off course we are.”

Already, the U.N. reports, “the global average mean surface temperature for the period from 2017–2021 is among the warmest on record, estimated at 1.06 °C to 1.27 °C above pre-industrial (1850–1900) levels.”

The impact — with more frequent and extreme weather events such as heat waves, droughts and hurricanes — is being felt sooner than many expected.

The measures promised by countries at the 2015 U.N. Climate Change Conference in Paris are insufficient, according to the new report and other recent studies by nongovernmental organizations, as they would leave the world on a pathway toward at least 2.7 degrees Celsius of warming by the century’s end.

Moreover, global greenhouse gas emissions keep rising. Carbon dioxide, which is by far the most prevalent greenhouse gas, peaked in 2019 and dropped in 2020 only because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Emissions of other greenhouse gases, such as methane and nitrous oxide, are rapidly increasing, more than past climate models had anticipated.

The report is intended to encourage more ambitious pledges of national action to combat climate change at the U.N. climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland, in November. Heads of state are also appearing at the U.N. General Assembly next week, where climate change is sure to be a major topic of discussion.

But just as important as making those commitments is that governments follow through and implement the policies that will get them to those targets for emissions cuts. As a U.N. summary of the conclusions put it, “Although the increasing number of countries committing to net-zero emission goals is encouraging, to remain feasible and credible, these goals urgently need to be reflected in near-term policy and in significantly more ambitious actions.”


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You Really Can Fight Poverty With One Weird Trick: Giving People MoneyQueens residents line up for a food bank on June 19, 2021, in Cambria Heights, New York. (photo: Bennett Raglin/Getty Images)

You Really Can Fight Poverty With One Weird Trick: Giving People Money
Luke Savage, Jacobin
Savage writes: "New numbers from the Census Bureau show that even as the US economy collapsed last year, the poverty rate actually went down. There's no mystery why: the government gave people money."

New numbers from the Census Bureau show that even as the US economy collapsed last year, the poverty rate actually went down. There’s no mystery why: the government gave people money.

An essential feature of the capitalist age is the tendency of extreme wealth to organize, perpetuate, and protect itself. This tendency has naturally given rise to all kinds of creative justifications for hierarchy and, in particular, the right of those at the top to remain there. The flip side, of course, is the vast industry committed to what might be called the mystification of poverty — represented in a seemingly endless series of efforts to represent poverty as the result of something other than a lack of money.

In this respect, few societies have managed to innovate quite like the United States, where neo-Victorian social attitudes and myths of moral desert are regularly weaponized against any effort at redistribution. For the political tribunes of wealth, poverty will always be about anything and everything else — inadequate work ethic, the corrosion of the nuclear family, bad personal judgment — and the policy remedies every bit as ethereal.

It’s hard to think of a stronger rebuttal to these mystifications than the stream of data to emerge from the United States’ momentary experiment in mass cash transfers during the COVID-19 pandemic. As per new numbers released this week by the Census Bureau, the share of Americans living in poverty was about 9.1 percent in 2020 — down from nearly 12 percent the previous year, and lower as a share of the general population than at any time since 1967. The context for this drop in poverty was the single biggest economic contraction since the Great Depression: a national calamity that saw the economy hemorrhage millions of jobs. When the same thing occurred during the last recession, poverty rose to 15 percent.

What accounts for this difference isn’t complex or obscure. The Census Bureau estimates that unemployment benefits stopped 5.5 million people from falling into poverty, while direct cash payments lifted nearly 12 million out of it. This doesn’t mean, of course, that the pandemic relief measures passed during the Trump and Biden administrations were adequate. Since official definitions of poverty can be incredibly conservative, plenty of struggling people were still far from secure even after receiving their cash benefits.

But the basic point very much stands. As has been the case all along, the best remedy for poverty is simple economic redistribution — either through direct payments or social programs financed with progressive taxation. The problem is that poverty will always be useful to those at the commanding heights of economic power, a reality made all too clear by the recent — and successful — big business campaign against unemployment benefits.

For precisely this reason, eliminating economic deprivation is difficult — but it’s anything but complicated.


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Sunday Song: Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band | Jungleland
Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band, YouTube
Excerpt: "Outside the street's on fire in a real death waltz between what's flesh and what's fantasy. And the poets down here don't write nothing at all, they just stand back and let it all be. And in the quick of the night they reach for their moment and try to make an honest stand. But they wind up wounded, not even dead, tonight in Jungleland."

"Outside the street's on fire in a real death waltz between what's flesh and what's fantasy And the poets down here don't write nothing at all, they just stand back and let it all be And in the quick of the night they reach for their moment and try to make an honest stand But they wind up wounded, not even dead, tonight in Jungleland"

  • Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band_

Lyrics Bruce Springsteen and the E Street Band, Jungleland.
Written by Bruce Springsteen.
From the 1975 album Born to Run.

The rangers had a homecoming in Harlem late last night
And the Magic Rat drove his sleek machine over the Jersey state line
Barefoot girl sitting on the hood of a Dodge drinking warm beer in the soft summer rain
The Rat pulls into town rolls up his pants, together they take a stab at romance and disappear down Flamingo Lane

Well the Maximum Lawman run down Flamingo chasing the Rat and the barefoot girl
And the kids 'round here look just like shadows, always quiet, holding hands
From the churches to the jails tonight all is silence in the world
As we take our stand down in Jungleland

The midnight gang's assembled and picked a rendezvous for the night
They'll meet 'neath that giant Exxon sign that brings this fair city light
Man, there's an opera out on the Turnpike, there's a ballet being fought out in the alley
Until the local cops, Cherry Tops, rips this holy night

The street's alive as secret debts are paid, contacts made, they vanished unseen
Kids flash guitars just like switch-blades hustling for the record machine
The hungry and the hunted explode into rock and roll bands
They faced off against each other out in the street down in Jungleland

In the parking lot the visionaries dress in the latest rage
Inside the backstreet girls are dancing to the records that the deejay plays
Lonely-hearted lovers struggle in dark corners desperate as the night moves on
Just one look and a whisper, they're gone

Beneath the city two hearts beat, soul engines running through a night so tender
In a bedroom locked, in whispers of soft refusal and then surrender
In the tunnels uptown, the Rat's own dream guns him down as shots echo down them hallways in the night
No one watches when the ambulance pulls away or as the girl shuts out the bedroom light

Outside the street's on fire in a real death waltz between what's flesh and what's fantasy
And the poets down here don't write nothing at all, they just stand back and let it all be
And in the quick of the night they reach for their moment and try to make an honest stand
But they wind up wounded, not even dead, tonight in Jungleland

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Los Angeles County Votes to End Oil and Gas DrillingA house in Los Angeles next to an oil drilling site. (photo: Sarah Craig/Faces of Fracking)

Los Angeles County Votes to End Oil and Gas Drilling
Climate Nexus
Excerpt: "Los Angeles County supervisors on Wednesday voted to ban drilling in unincorporated areas and to phase out oil and gas drilling."

Los Angeles County supervisors on Wednesday voted to ban drilling in unincorporated areas and to phase out oil and gas drilling.

There are currently 1,046 active wells, 637 idle wells, and 2,731 abandoned wells in unincorporated areas of the nation's most populous county. according to a memo to the board dated June 3, 2021. County Supervisor Janice Hahn praised the plan as "a framework for how we transition from dirty fossil fuels to clean energy and make sure we bring our labor partners with us."

The Board also voted to create a program to ensure that wells are properly closed and cleaned up, and to expand the county's task force focused on a just transition for fossil fuel workers and communities.

As reported by The Associated Press:

Among the sites is the Inglewood Oil Field, one of the largest U.S. urban oil fields. The sprawling, 1,000-acre (405-hectare) site, owned and operated by Sentinel Peak Resources, contains over half the oil and gas wells in the county's unincorporated areas. The field produced 2.5 million to 3.1 million barrels of oil a year over the past decade, according to the company.

"The goal is to provide direction to county departments to begin addressing the variety of issues, environmental and climate impacts created by these active and inactive oil and gas wells," said Supervisor Holly J. Mitchell, who represents the district where most of the Inglewood Oil Field is located.

Mitchell, along with Supervisor Sheila Kuehl, made the motion to phase out drilling in the county's unincorporated areas.

Inglewood Oil Field is adjacent to several Black communities, including Baldwin Hills, Ladera Heights and View Park, where residents have worried about the field's impact on their health and the local environment for at least a decade. Residents have complained of foul odors from the wells and say they have seen oil bubbling through sidewalk cracks in their neighborhoods.

"There are tens of thousands of people who live in very close proximity to oil wells, 73% of whom are people of color," Mitchell said in an interview before the vote. "So, for me, it really is an equity issue."


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