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Showing posts with label FEC. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FEC. Show all posts

Saturday, January 22, 2022

POLITICO NIGHTLY: POLITICO at 15

 



 
POLITICO Nightly logo

BY JOHN F. HARRIS

Presented by AT&T

Graphic celebrating POLITICO's 15th anniversary

NEXT YEAR, POLITICO GETS ITS DRIVER’S LICENSE — In the old days of establishment newspapers, reporters were generally expected to subordinate the distinctive elements of their personality, interests, and voice to the imperatives of the institution. Many of the conventions — such as the detached, oracular voice-of-God tone to most stories — were designed to project an air of authority, but this was often an illusion.

POLITICO’s notion from the outset was to recognize that the best reporters had their own distinctive signatures — and to build a new publication around these. We assembled a group of past and present POLITICO journalists for a conversation about the changes in media over the past 15 years, and likely further disruptions in the years ahead. Each of them are all emphatic examples of this type of reporter.

While quite different in age and background, these journalists have some things in common. All saw their careers and public profiles boosted powerfully during their time at POLITICO. All have reported or commented on presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden in penetrating ways. Lastly, all have keen insights, flowing from direct experience, in the altered power dynamics of the modern media arena, in which legacy news organizations like the New York Times vie with newcomers like POLITICO for relevance and impact with an audience that is saturated in content like no other time in history.

You’ll want to read the conversation in full when it’s published in POLITICO Magazine this Sunday. It’s part of a package of stories we’re running to observe and celebrate POLITICO’s 15th birthday. (I wrote one of those stories, which we published this morning.) But for Nightly readers who want tomorrow’s news tonight, here is an advance look at a few highlights from each of the participants:

Matt Wuerker, POLITICO’s staff cartoonist: I do miss the gatekeepers in some ways — not the stodgy white guys from the Acela corridor, but the idea that journalism has some responsibility to put out truths and slap down on lies.

Ben Smith, starting a new media venture after writing a New York Times column and editing BuzzFeed: I’ve gradually gained respect for these old institutions. But also, all of the flaws that we took advantage of in launching POLITICO are mostly still manifest and totally unfixed.

Maggie Haberman, political reporter at the New York Times: I hate saying that, but it’s just not fun the way that it was. And maybe that’s a good thing, right? Because the stakes are actually really high, and maybe the idea that this was fun for a group of us was probably somewhat disconnected from reality.

Eugene Daniels, POLITICO White House correspondent and Playbook co-author: I used to have this idea that it’s really, really important for me to hear from readers, that it’s really, really important for journalists not to close ourselves off to criticism. I really held true to that for a while. I’m starting to see that isn’t really what’s happening on Twitter.

Seung Min Kim, White House reporter at the Washington Post: I don’t know of any good political reporter who isn’t always busy, maybe slightly overwhelmed, and constantly working to beat our competition and get the best story out there. I think POLITICO is not unique in that.

Matt Wuerker: And to answer the question about what I would do in the future or suggest that POLITICO do in the next 15 years, it’s use more cartoons. The secret is more cartoons, always.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author on Twitter at @harrispolitico.

 

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WHAT'D I MISS?

— Read the never-issued Trump order that would have seized voting machines: Among the records that Trump’s lawyers tried to shield from Jan. 6 investigators are a draft executive order that would have directed the defense secretary to seize voting machines and a document titled “Remarks on National Healing.” The executive order — which also would have appointed a special counsel to probe the 2020 election — was never issued, and the remarks were never delivered. Together, the two documents point to the wildly divergent perspectives of White House advisers and allies during Trump’s frenetic final weeks in office.

— Trump appointee blocks Biden vaccine mandate for federal workers: A U.S. judge in Texas issued a nationwide injunction today barring the federal government from enforcing Biden’s requirement that federal workers without qualifying medical or religious exemptions be vaccinated for Covid-19 . Judge Jeffrey Brown, who was appointed to the District Court for the Southern District of Texas by Trump, ruled that opponents of Biden’s vaccination mandate for federal employees were likely to succeed at trial and blocked the government from enforcing the requirement.

 

JOIN NEXT FRIDAY TO HEAR FROM GOVERNORS ACROSS AMERICA : As we head into the third year of the pandemic, state governors are taking varying approaches to public health measures including vaccine and mask mandates. "The Fifty: America's Governors" is a series of live conversations featuring various governors on the unique challenges they face as they take the lead and command the national spotlight in historic ways. Learn what is working and what is not from the governors on the front lines, REGISTER HERE.

 
 

— Texas man arrested for year-old death threats against Georgia election officials: The Justice Department has charged a Texas man with making death threats against Georgia officials and state and federal judges when the state’s election practices were at the center of controversy over the 2020 presidential election. Chad Christopher Stark was arrested in Travis County, Texas, on an indictment returned earlier this week by a federal grand jury in Atlanta, Justice Department officials said.

— Biden nominates former Stacey Abrams lawyer for campaign finance watchdog: Biden is nominating a new commissioner to the Federal Election Commission, the nation’s chief campaign finance watchdog. The White House announced today that Biden was putting forward Dara Lindenbaum, a campaign finance attorney, to join the six-member board governing the agency, which is charged with enforcing campaign finance laws and issuing opinions guiding federal officeseekers.

 

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FROM THE HEALTH DESK

THE EQUITY EQUATION — Nightly contributor and Commonwealth Fund journalist-in-residence at Johns Hopkins School of Public Health Joanne Kenen emails Nightly:

Even before the pandemic, the health care world had begun to focus on “social determinants” or “social drivers” of health, ways in which poverty, health, and often race, collided. The pandemic elevated that conversation.

But paying attention to something, even paying a lot of attention to something, isn’t the same thing as doing something. This week, the National Quality Forum, which advises Medicare, took the first step toward making measuring and addressing social drivers a routine part of Medicare.

Medicare has dozens — actually, a few hundred — of quality metrics and incentives that shape how doctors and hospitals are paid. Not one of them pertains to social determinants.

The National Quality Forum endorsed two measures this week that would change that. One would require doctors and hospitals to screen patient needs in five areas: food, housing, transportation, utilities, and domestic or interpersonal violence. The other would measure and report how many patients “test positive” once screened. Neither measure would require a doctor to, say, call a food pantry or a housing agency. But before plans to address social needs can be mandated, those needs have to be measured and understood. (Some doctors and health systems are already screening for these measures, and a subset do then connect patients to social services.)

Neither measure would go into effect right away; the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services has to make decisions and go through a bunch of rule-making. Some industry groups will push back or try to soften any new requirements. But at the NQF meeting, which was public, I heard a sense of urgency.

“We need to address the reality of our patients’ lives beyond the four walls of our health system,” said Allison Bryant, senior medical director for health equity at Mass General Brigham in Boston. Patrick Conway, who led the Medicare innovation center in the Obama administration and is now an executive at the Optum health company, said, “I think it will drive change.”

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president’s ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
AROUND THE WORLD

Ukrainian soldiers stand in a trench near the front line in the village of New York, formerly known as Novhorodske, Ukraine.

Ukrainian soldiers stand in a trench near the front line in the village of New York, formerly known as Novhorodske, Ukraine. | Brendan Hoffman/Getty Images

BALTICS RUSH TO AID UKRAINE — Latvia and Lithuania confirmed they will send Stinger ground-to-air missiles to Ukraine, adding a major new capability to Kyiv’s ability to defend itself against a possible Russian incursion, Paul McLeary writes.

The two countries were joined by fellow NATO member Estonia, who confirmed they would send Javelin anti-armor missiles to Ukraine in the coming days.

The three countries — all former Soviet satellite states — showed a united front today, releasing a joint statement declaring they “stand united in their commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity in face of continued Russian aggression.”

The upcoming shipments of Stingers will give the Ukrainian military the ability to shoot down helicopters with accuracy. The impending shipments were first reported by POLITICO this week when the State Department quietly signed off on the transfers of the U.S.-made Stinger and Javelin missiles to Ukraine.

NIGHTLY NUMBER

More than $20 million

The amount Facebook, now renamed Meta, spent on lobbying in 2021. Facebook’s owner spent more money than ever on lobbying last year , amid a growing pile of political and legal problems, according to its latest disclosure filing.

PUNCHLINES

THE BIG 1-5 — In the latest Weekend Wrap, Matt Wuerker isn’t finished celebrating POLITICO’s 15th anniversary, with some archival footage of former presidents cracking jokes about the burgeoning publication, and some of the usual political satire and cartoons of the week.

Matt Wuerker on POLITICO's 15th anniversary

PARTING WORDS

California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a news conference after meeting with students.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a news conference after meeting with students. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

WHAT 2022 ELECTION? Five months after California Gov. Gavin Newsom crushed the recall, the GOP field for a 2022 rematch is frozen in suspended animation . Republican candidates and donors still reeling from Newsom’s 24-point blowout are assessing whether they have the will for another round. So far, the answer is a resounding no.

“I haven’t even paid much attention to it,” perennial California Republican donor Susan Groff said. “Actually, I haven’t paid any attention to it.”

Recall momentum last year came out of nowhere in this bluest of blue states — and vanished just as quickly, Jeremy B. White writes. Two months from the candidate filing deadline for the 2022 gubernatorial race, no major Republican has launched a campaign to deny Newsom a second term.

The pandemic anger that fueled the recall signature drive has gradually subsided since the economy reopened last summer. Students are back in classrooms, even during the Omicron surge.

 

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Saturday, December 18, 2021

RSN: FOCUS: Kanye West's 'Independent' Campaign Was Secretly Run by GOP Elites

 


 

Reader Supported News
18 December 21

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MATCHING THE SMALLER DONORS: Many have given what they can afford during this fund-raising drive. There have been a few larger donors who have stepped up as well. Thank you! It would mean a great deal if there were someone out there who could provide a more substantial contribution. Call it matching funds or something of that nature. For your consideration.
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While it's unclear just how West, ostensibly running as an independent, managed to connect almost exclusively with Republican firms, his efforts were quite clearly in the hands of experienced conservatives. (image: The Daily Beast/Getty Images)
FOCUS: Kanye West's 'Independent' Campaign Was Secretly Run by GOP Elites
Roger Sollenberger and William Bredderman, The Daily Beast
Excerpt: "New documents show Kanye West's doomed White House campaign - styled as an 'independent' third-party effort - appears to have disguised potentially millions of dollars in services it received from a secretive network of Republican Party operatives, including advisers to the GOP elite and a managing partner at one of the top conservative political firms in the country."

The campaign took steps, experts say, to mask its connections to GOP operatives. That could violate federal election laws.

New documents show Kanye West’s doomed White House campaign—styled as an “independent” third-party effort—appears to have disguised potentially millions of dollars in services it received from a secretive network of Republican Party operatives, including advisers to the GOP elite and a managing partner at one of the top conservative political firms in the country.

Potentially even more alarming? The Kanye 2020 campaign committee did not even report paying some of these advisers, and used an odd abbreviation for another—moves which campaign finance experts say appear designed to mask the association between known GOP operatives and the campaign, and could constitute a violation of federal laws.

At the heart of Kanye’s political operation was Holtzman Vogel, one of the most powerful and well-connected law firms serving major Republican political and nonprofit organizations today. And weaved throughout his campaign, whether the multi-platinum rapper realized it or not, were Republican operatives who may have been less interested in seeing a President West than in re-electing President Donald Trump.

Paul S. Ryan, vice president of government watchdog Common Cause, called the revelations “a big deal.”

“The importance of disclosure in this matter can’t be overstated,” Ryan told The Daily Beast. “It’s no secret that Kanye West’s candidacy would have a spoiler effect, siphoning votes from Democrat Joe Biden. Voters had a right to know that a high-powered Republican lawyer was providing legal services to Kanye—and federal law requires disclosure of such legal work.”

Federal disclosures also show the campaign enlisted legal services from an array of firms with links to Trump and the Republican Party—including leading voter fraud conspiracy theorists and more than a half-dozen legal practices which went on to push baseless election fraud lawsuits on behalf of Trump or the GOP.

In fact, Holtzman Vogel played key roles in those efforts. They represented Trump in a Pennsylvania lawsuit in late September, while advising the West presidential campaign—advice which at one point included Pennsylvania ballot strategy. The firm is also tied to the Honest Elections Project, which has been involved with voter-suppression efforts.

The former “Birthday Party” contender’s campaign even paid roughly $60,000 to one of those firms—Minnesota-based Mohrman Kaardal—in early December, when it filed a baseless election fraud lawsuit. The suit was ultimately rejected with such vigor that it nearly cost the attorneys their license to practice. That outfit worked with another election challenging group, the Amistad Project, a function of Thomas More Society, which employed Trump attorney and Rudy Giuliani protégée Jenna Ellis. Kanye 2020 retained the firm within days of the Amistad Project’s August launch.

The nature of these hidden connections is obviously complex. And experts say that appears to be the point. Any effort to untangle them will, unfortunately, reflect that. But they say that the red flags—including efforts to cloud disclosures, and Republican operatives exploiting a spoiler candidate—appear to be there.

The Daily Beast shared the court filings and FEC data with a number of government watchdog groups, who all concluded that the campaign and operatives appear to have for one reason or another shielded their connections. The groups found this troubling, and noted that without the documentation in the lawsuit—a breach-of-contract claim which a former campaign vendor filed this spring in Texas state court—the lack of transparency would have kept some of the connections secret.

Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington reviewed hundreds of campaign communications in court records, as well as Kanye 2020’s FEC filings. Communications director Jordan Libowitz concluded that the campaign bookkeeping was a “disaster,” despite the expert guidance from Holtzman Vogel, and the documents are “enough to raise an eyebrow and a red flag or two.”

“This was absolutely amateur hour. And his campaign paid a lot of money for those results,” Libowitz said.

He continued, “It’s very clear that the whole point behind Kanye’s campaign was to try to re-elect Donald Trump. Whether that was a goal of Kanye is another issue. But he was clearly seen as a way to steal potential votes from Biden.”

Multiple people connected to the campaign, including some of the campaign’s contracted lawyers, had a similar assessment. Some said that messaging decisions had to first go through secretive political “hands.” Others indicated that their involvement had been solicited by known Republican political operatives, though when pressed they all declined to name names. All of them also acknowledged an apparently close relationship between West and top Trump aide Jared Kushner, who held meetings with West at his Wyoming ranch just ahead of his campaign announcement, drawing speculation that the campaigns were coordinating.

One campaign lawyer, Arizona-based attorney Tim La Sota—who has filed election challenges—told The Daily Beast that while West “seemed to be a sincere candidate,” political operatives understand that an “unrealistic prospect of winning doesn’t mean you can’t influence things.”

“I can tell you that he did not seek me out. Somebody else did,” La Sota said.

While it’s unclear just how West, ostensibly running as an independent, managed to connect almost exclusively with Republican firms—many of which had direct connections to Trump himself—his efforts were quite clearly in the hands of experienced conservatives.

There is one major exception, however. The progressive firm Millennial Strategies was one of Kanye’s largest 2020 vendors, and it’s unclear if that was a ploy to give Kanye’s campaign the air of true independence, or just a true exception.

Otherwise, Kanye’s campaign seems to have been loaded with Republican operatives.

At, or at least near, the top of the campaign’s chain was sitting GOP Virginia state senator and veteran political operative Jill Vogel—managing partner at Holtzman Vogel, a heavyweight in the world of conservative politics and dark money groups.

Vogel’s campaign work is made clear in months of email and text communications revealed in a multimillion-dollar breach-of-contract lawsuit targeting the West campaign and consultants, first filed this spring in Texas state court and reviewed by The Daily Beast.

The suit, brought by former campaign subvendor SeedX, alleges the company never got paid for months of campaign work, including building and maintaining the website and merch sales, which are counted for campaign purposes as donations. SeedX backs up those allegations with hundreds of pages of communications with campaign officials and contractors, indicating it engaged in several months of campaign work.

SeedX alleges that because the campaign did not pay them, their work would qualify as either a loan or an in-kind contribution—which would have exceeded limits. However, the campaign failed to acknowledge either in their filings.

The case got kicked up to federal court in the Western District of Texas, where a judge dismissed it on Nov. 30, citing lack of jurisdiction—in other words, SeedX filed the lawsuit in the wrong place. The court did not take up the merits of the case, which was closed before it reached the discovery stage, when subpoenas could be issued. A person with direct knowledge told The Daily Beast that the plaintiffs remain confident, and a new lawsuit will likely be filed again soon.

The documents also happen to show that Vogel advised the campaign regarding legal and compliance matters starting as far back as August 2020. The issues ranged from website language and disclaimers to fundraising advice and ballot access rules.

“She is a name that comes up a lot when you’re looking at right-wing money operations in general, tied to a lot of major players,” Libowitz explained. “She and her firm [Holtzman Vogel] have ties to people like [top conservative fundraiser] Leonard Leo, just really big Republican money.”

Libowitz said Vogel may have wanted to keep her name off of filings to minimize “any embarrassment that may come with being publicly affiliated with the trainwreck that was the Kanye campaign,” but added that “it’s also likely that she did not want people to know that a Republican operative was behind his campaign.”

Two people involved with the campaign identified Vogel, whose husband is D.C. lobbyist Alex Vogel, as a key player. One person told The Daily Beast that Jill Vogel was “basically behind it all,” and had been a presence in the campaign since at least last July, when right-leaning lobbying firm Mercury Public Affairs was advising the campaign. A third source confirmed her involvement but was unsure of her exact role.

Michael McKeon, a partner at Mercury, confirmed to The Daily Beast that he had worked with Kanye 2020 in its early stages. His role, he said, was to “connect the campaign with various people, groups.” Asked in a follow-up if he had connected the campaign with Vogel, McKeon referred the question to the campaign and ended the conversation.

An email sent to the campaign’s listed email contact bounced back. West’s publicist, Pierre Rougier, did not reply to a detailed request for comment.

But watchdogs strongly doubted that Kanye’s campaign just happened to end up with this many GOP operatives on its team.

“You’re not just going to trip and find your way into these Republican circles,” Libowitz observed. “BakerHostetler works for the Republican National Committee,” he said, referencing a New York firm which Kanye 2020 paid $152,000 a full month after he lost the election.

“So many of these firms work for major Republican organizations, and they are not doing this for him out of the kindness of their hearts,” he added. It appears that well over a dozen Kanye 2020 firms have deep connections in national and state Republican politics, and that many of them pushed false claims of a fraudulent or fatally flawed election. “It’s pretty clear Kanye was a GOP plant, whether he knew it or not.”

Despite the evidence of Vogel’s campaign work in the court records, none of Kanye 2020’s FEC filings show any payments to her or her firm. (Neither Mercury nor McKeon appear, either.) However, Vogel associates herself directly with the campaign in multiple emails found in the court filings, and other campaign vendors identify her several in texts and emails as the “campaign lawyer.”

In one late January email obtained by The Daily Beast, Vogel identifies herself to SeedX as “the attorney for the Kanye West 2020 presidential campaign.” (Emails show she had been in touch with SeedX in this capacity for months.) She then says she has been “authorized” to offer SeedX $20,000 to buy the campaign website, and hints that the vendor—who did months of work but apparently never got paid—could face possible civil litigation if they do not set aside their demands.

SeedX rejected the $20,000 and sued for $2 million, arguing it matched the rates of other vendors.

Attorneys are allowed to volunteer compliance services to campaigns. However, federal law requires campaigns to report what the cost of that work would be. They must also report the name of the person who performed the work. Court exhibits show Vogel used her official firm email account while advising on Kanye 2020.

Libowitz said it is unclear why Vogel, an expert who advised Kanye 2020 on the many nuances of FEC laws—at one point consulting another firm partner, whom she identifies as a former FEC commissioner—decided that she herself did not need to appear in the filings. The matter, he said, raises questions.

“If an outside group was paying for them, that needs to be disclosed as an in-kind contribution, and if that’s the case you would immediately run up against limits,” Libowitz said.

Brendan Fischer, director of federal reform at the Campaign Legal Center, who reviewed the court and FEC records, also questioned the rationale.

“Voters have a right to know where political money is coming from and where it is going. But the Kanye 2020 campaign’s FEC reports didn’t give much insight into who was actually working for the candidate,” Fischer said.

He noted that while the FEC doesn’t always require campaigns to separately disclose payments to subcontractors, the “subvendor loophole can’t explain all of the giant holes in the Kanye campaign’s FEC reports.”

Ryan, of Common Cause, noted that “if Holtzman Vogel’s legal services extended beyond compliance with federal campaign finance law to other matters, then the value of those services would constitute a potentially-illegal contribution to Kanye’s campaign.”

To that point, one of Vogel’s emails includes a lengthy discussion of ballot requirements in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, which would not appear on its face to be related in any way to FEC compliance.

“There are several red flags here that warrant FEC scrutiny,” Ryan said.

Interestingly enough, some Vogel money did flow the other way: Her teenage son appears to have donated $180 to Kanye 2020 in October, FEC records show, likely in exchange for any of a number of combinations of Yeezy election swag.

Vogel did not reply to several specific questions about her involvement with the campaign.

Another key operative attached to West’s White House bid, whose involvement had attracted media attention last year, was Nathan Sproul. One of Sproul’s firms was at the center of a voter fraud case in 2012, and another, Lincoln Strategy Group, has since 2008 pulled in more than $10 million in federal political consulting services, according to FEC records—including $600,000 from the Trump campaign weeks ahead of the 2016 election.

Like Vogel, Lincoln Strategy was not reported to have received any money from Kanye 2020. However, one of its principals, longtime GOP political consultant Dan Centinello—who appears regularly on Kanye 2020 text and email chains—contributed $260 to the campaign in October.

Centinello and Sproul are just two among a number of Lincoln Strategy employees who advised West’s campaign, using official Lincoln Strategy Group email addresses, according to emails and text messages found in court exhibits.

And while Lincoln Strategy did not get paid by Kanye 2020, the campaign did pour about $4.8 million into a firm called “Fortified Consulting.”

At this point, you may not be stunned to learn that “Fortified Consulting” has almost no public footprint. However, it shares an Arizona address with Lincoln Strategy Group, and has been identified in multiple news reports as belonging to Sproul.

No other political committee has ever paid Fortified Consulting.

Over the four months that the firm was raking in its $4.8 million from the “independent” West, its apparent alter ego, Lincoln Strategy Group, was working openly with mainstream Republican clients—including Sen. Jim Inhofe (R-OK), Rep. Chip Roy (R-TX), and the Republican Party of Texas. Those clients paid Lincoln a combined $1.1 million over that period.

At one point, Lincoln Strategy employees even discuss buying out West’s campaign merch store after the election—which would be prohibited by law. (The store had problems of its own.)

But legal filings show Sproul, who did not respond to requests for comment, was merely a small visible sprout off the campaign’s far deeper and unseen Republican roots.

Beginning in August 2020, and stretching through September of this year, Kanye 2020 made nine payments totalling $692,057.35 for “compliance” and “accounting” to a Texas entity called “GSF Inc.” That eye-popping figure came after the hip-hop mogul had lost any hope of attaining the nation’s highest office and, for context, it exceeds what former Sen. David Perdue (R-GA) splashed out for compliance services during his entire failed bid for re-election.

But business records show that no such company as “GSF Inc.” exists in the Lone Star State, and the FEC database shows no other political committee has ever hired a firm by that name.

However, the database does show that an array of right-wing candidates and committees have paid a company sharing the same address in the suburbs just north of Austin: Grand Slam Finance, Inc. And the Texas lawsuit documents Grand Slam Finance’s extensive involvement in the Kanye 2020 campaign—as well as illustrates how the firm appears to have both facilitated and potentially concealed connections between West’s campaign and the Republican operative network more broadly.

Texas records show that Grand Slam Finance was originally the creation of accountant Russell Anderson, who handled the books for disgraced former House Majority Leader Tom Delay’s political action committee.

But Anderson told The Daily Beast that he sold his stake in Grand Slam Finance to his partner Deanna Hayes “three or four years” ago.

The Texas suit includes among its exhibits emails the plaintiff exchanged with Hayes—identified as an “associate” of Vogel and her firm—as well as correspondence between Hayes and campaign treasurer Andre Bodiford regarding banking information.

“I was hoping we could keep andre out of it but apparently Deanna [Hayes] doesn’t have everything,” Centinello wrote in one message.

It is unclear why Centinello, a self-professed veteran of major multimillion-dollar campaigns, wanted to leave the West campaign’s treasurer out of the loop here.

Notably, the West campaign’s nine payments to GSF add up to about $250,000 more than the firm’s combined federal compliance income over the last decade.

Ryan called it “strange” to see a consultant “suddenly banking way more than it previously has for services, all from one campaign.” And Ryan and Libowitz both made note of West’s status as an “amateur candidate,” and a billionaire who largely funded his own campaign.

Hayes did not reply to requests for comment. However, days after The Daily Beast first contacted her, she sent an apparently errant text, with a reference to a “Jill”—likely Vogel.

“This reporter has been calling and texting. I haven’t answered or responded nor will I. No idea how he got my name or what he wants but now he’s calling my husband. I let Jill know yesterday just so she’s aware,” the text message read. Neither Hayes nor Vogel replied to questions about this text message.

Public records indicate Hayes’ history with Vogel run through another pair of leading GOP apparatchiks.

Lobbying documents in Hawaii show Hayes and Grand Slam working for the Crosby Ottenhoff Group. This firm belongs to former RNC Chief Finance Officer Caleb Crosby and Benjamin Ottenhoff, the treasurer for the GOP’s digital fundraising juggernaut WinRed.

Neither Crosby nor Ottenhoff responded to questions about whether they had also worked for the West campaign. Crosby has a particularly close relationship with Hayes and with Holtzman Vogel: Hayes incorporated his personal firm, CFC Consulting, which also works for marquee Republican names, and handled the books at a conservative nonprofit where Crosby worked as treasurer.

Grand Slam Finance also formerly managed compliance at another institution where Crosby served as fiduciary: Karl Rove’s Super PAC American Crossroads.

The law firm for American Crossroads? Holtzman Vogel PLLC, according to FEC records.

The same is true for the Senate Leadership Fund, a Mitch McConnell-boosting PAC, which also lists Crosby as its treasurer. In fact, the Senate Leadership Fund is only one of several entities based out of Holtzman Vogel’s Virginia law office which feature Crosby as an officer.

Holtzman Vogel and the Crosby Ottenhoff Group have teamed up numerous times in the past few years, most recently for a pair of GOP PACs in Virginia.

West’s self-described “spiritual adviser,” music manager John Boyd—who the campaign paid $25,000 for “political strategy consulting—was adamant that nobody, Republican or Democrat, ever manipulated the hip-hop star. However, he admitted that his campaign was highly disorganized and the candidate was never in full control of his own operations.

“He had companies, individuals working for him, I don’t even know if he knew what they were doing that deeply. That’s my personal view,” Boyd told The Daily Beast. “There were definitely agendas out there that perhaps he didn’t have full control over.”

Boyd declined to give names or provide further details.

Colorado-based attorney Mario Nicolais, who had scrutinized the West campaign’s ballot petition activity in Wisconsin last August, told The Daily Beast that the GOP’s targeting West—who, according to his then-wife Kim Kardashian, had been contending with mental health struggles—was “about as bottom-of-the-barrel moral turpitude as you can be, in my opinion. Just sleazy, low-rent cashing in.”

Nicolais added that it was “important to follow up on these stories,” even a year later, because they could “invite bigger problems in the future, similar tactics only on a larger scale.”

“It turns out that this was not even a conspiracy theory,” he said. “It was literally documented.”


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Thursday, November 11, 2021

POLITICO NIGHTLY: Twin exhaustions: inflation and Covid

 



 
POLITICO Nightly logo

BY RENUKA RAYASAM

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Bank of America

THAT ’70S SHOW — “I don’t think the administration is on top of it at all,” the CEO of one of the U.S.’s largest companies, who spoke on condition of anonymity out of concern over angering the administration, tells Ben White, who’s back with a new piece on the thing that seems to come up wherever you are in the country: inflation.

Also, the rent is too damn high: New tonight, from Katy O’Donnell and Victoria Guida: “Surging gas and grocery prices are constant reminders of inflation, but another creeping trend spells more trouble for people’s wallets and Democrats’ political fate: rising rents.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at rrayasam@politico.com, or on Twitter at @RenuRayasam.

Signs on a door warn people about Covid-19 in Manhattan.

Signs on a door warn people about Covid-19 in Manhattan. | Spencer Platt/Getty Images

WRITE YOUR OWN ENDING — I dream of the day I can burn all of my masks.

It will be a day when I don’t have to check, “wallet, keys and oh yeah mask,” before I leave the house. A day when I can put on big dangly earrings without struggling to pull the loops over my ears. A day when I finally know what my writing students at the University of Texas at El Paso actually look like. A day when I can see my kids’ faces in their class pictures.

To me, that will be the day that signals the end of the pandemic, the moment when the crisis has passed and Covid-19 no longer figures into our daily cost-benefit analysis. It will be the moment when I can start saying “post-pandemic.”

It’s also a day that seems ever elusive.

Nearly 60 percent of the U.S. population has been fully vaccinated, but 46,000 people are being hospitalized and 1,200 people are still dying every single day, according to the New York Times . Even those who personally feel the pandemic is over — or was never that much of a threat — still have to contend with the minor inconveniences and major disruptions of Covid. They still have to wear masks in planes and other public spaces and quarantine after getting a positive test.

Back in February, I asked a group of Nightly experts how we would know if the pandemic was over. They gave me specific answers: case numbers, vaccination rates, positive test ratios. No one predicted a #CovidZero scenario, but it seemed like we would soon hit a threshold and declare victory. We thought, back then, that we would all be back in the office by now.

That was before the Delta variant, evidence of waning vaccine immunity and growing concerns over Covid in kids.

So I reached out to the same group of experts this week to re-ask my question about the pandemic’s end. Nine months later, they were far less sure about what it would look like and how we would get there.

“I don’t know what equilibrium will be,” said Jeffrey Shaman, a professor of environmental health sciences at Columbia University, who correctly predicted a period of premature exuberance last time around. “I would prefer you would not quote me on a number.”

The critical numbers to watch, Shaman said, are hospitalizations and infection fatality ratios — the proportion of people who die after being infected. Right now the vaccinated are far better protected than the unvaccinated: a Texas study showed that unvaccinated people made up 85 percent of the state’s total Covid deaths from mid-January to October this year.

“Covid-19 is a different threat than it was before vaccines,” said Abraar Karan, an infectious disease doctor at Stanford University. But, he said, the biggest open question is whether the Covid vaccine’s efficacy will wane over time and whether a booster is the last shot in a three-shot series or an annual necessity. A variant that renders the vaccine less effective could emerge, too.

Overall, Karan said he’s looking to see daily deaths fall below 200 a day — a marker we hit briefly during the summer — and stay there.

Worthy goals, according to Saskia Popescu, an epidemiologist with George Mason University and the University of Arizona, would be: 5 new cases per 100,000 people over seven days; transmission rates below 0.9; vaccination rates above 75 percent; and a percentage of hospital patients with Covid of between 1 and 10 percent.

In the U.S., only Puerto Rico is close to all those numbers, according to Covid Act Now.

Nearly two years after the first detected cases in China, we are still early in the trajectory of a novel virus, Popescu said. At some point in the future — after vaccination rates are high globally and after community transmission levels are low — the challenge will shift to monitoring and addressing small regional outbreaks. But not yet.

Declaring the end of the pandemic is more a question of values and politics than of science, Arthur Caplan, a bioethics professor at NYU’s Grossman School of Medicine, said when I reached him, repeating what he told me in February.

Maybe a better vaccine will come along or deaths will fall dramatically. Therapeutics to better treat Covid are already on the way. But ultimately we — individuals, parents, states, school boards, businesses — will have to keep deciding how much Covid we are willing to tolerate in exchange for living without masks and testing and quarantine requirements, Caplan said. It’s what we have done all along.

Before the pandemic, immunocompromised people were told to mask up during flu season, Caplan points out. Post-pandemic, whenever that is, even if Covid becomes less deadly and virus levels fall, some people may decide that a trip to the movie theater isn’t worth the risk or hassle of getting Covid, but a family visit is.

Shaman had another non-numerical post-pandemic marker in mind, one I think about a lot too:

“When you guys don’t have to write about it that often,” he said, “that will be the benchmark.”

 

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WHAT'D I MISS?

— Biden and Xi set for Zoom summit: A virtual summit between President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping is tentatively scheduled for Monday evening, a U.S. official told POLITICO today . A second, non-administration source familiar with the summit’s planning confirmed the date. The two leaders telegraphed their intent Tuesday to establish a positive tone for the summit via letters of congratulations both leaders sent to the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations to mark its 55th anniversary. Xi’s letter, read by China’s ambassador, Qin Gang, at Tuesday’s committee black-tie gala dinner, stated that “China stands ready to work with the United States to enhance exchanges and cooperation across the board ... so as to bring China-U.S. relations back to the right track of sound and steady development.”

— Rittenhouse murder case thrown into jeopardy by mistrial bid: The murder case against Kyle Rittenhouse was thrown into jeopardy today when his lawyers asked for a mistrial over what appeared to be out-of-bounds questions asked of Rittenhouse by the chief prosecutor. The judge did not immediately rule on the request. The startling turn came after Rittenhouse, in a high-stakes gamble, took the stand and testified that he was under attack when he shot three men, two fatally, during a night of turbulent protests against racial injustice in Kenosha in the summer of 2020.

 

DON’T MISS POLITICO’S SUSTAINABILITY SUMMIT: Join POLITICO's Sustainability Summit on Tuesday, Nov. 16 and hear leading voices from Washington, state houses, city halls, civil society and corporate America discuss the most viable policy and political solutions that balance economic, environmental and social interests. REGISTER HERE.

 
 

— Nevada Democrat seeks to become nation’s first openly transgender statewide elected official: Democrat Kimi Cole announced today her bid to become Nevada’s lieutenant governor — and break barriers in the process. Cole, the chair of the Nevada Democratic Rural Caucus, would be the first openly transgender statewide elected official in the country if she won, according to her campaign.

— Cuomo to investigators: ‘I don’t have regrets’: Former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo conceded to investigators that he made many of the comments that led to sexual harassment accusations against him, but he downplayed their significance and said some of them were taken out of context. “I don’t have regrets,” Cuomo told investigators, according to transcripts from the probe released today by state Attorney General Tish James. “Look, if you could always state everything over, I’m sure I would state things — if I could restate everything I’ve ever said to a woman or a man, I’d say it differently. But generally, no.” The 512-page transcript was from an interview conducted in July as part of James’ probe into the numerous allegations of sexual harassment against Cuomo.

— Study: Fox viewers more likely to believe Covid falsehoods: People who trust Fox News Channel and other media outlets that appeal to conservatives are more likely to believe falsehoods about Covid-19 and vaccines than those who primarily go elsewhere for news, a study has found. While the Kaiser Family Foundation study released this week found the clear ties between news outlets that people trusted and the amount of misinformation they believe, it took no stand on whether those attitudes specifically came from what they saw there.

 

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AROUND THE WORLD

ANOTHER CRISIS, THIS TIME IN EUROPE European defense leaders are fretting that the surging migration crisis at the Belarus-Poland border could spark another crisis — violent conflict, Jacopo Barigazzi writes.

“The potential for escalation is extremely high,” Estonian Defense Minister Kalle Laanet said today at a press conference during the Annual Baltic Conference on Defense, a regular event that gathers the defense community in Estonia.

A truck carrying Polish soldiers drives towards the border with Belarus near Kuznica, Poland.

A truck carrying Polish soldiers drives towards the border with Belarus near Kuznica, Poland. | Sean Gallup/Getty Images

His comments were echoed at the same press conference by senior defense officials from Greece, Lithuania and the U.K., who all shared the fear of escalation. Currently, at least 2,000 migrants are camped in freezing temperatures at the Belarus border with Poland, unable to enter the country, but not allowed to turn back — part of a Belarusian scheme EU officials have termed a “hybrid attack” against the bloc, combining political and military elements.

Adding to the tensions, the crisis comes shortly after satellite photos confirmed reports Russia is once again massing troops and military equipment on its border with Ukraine. Estonian officials said it is easy to connect the dots between the two events. And on Tuesday, Poland directly accused Moscow of helping orchestrate the plot to lure migrants from Middle Eastern countries to Belarus before sending them to the EU’s borders.

When asked by POLITICO, Laanet did not rule out the possibility of a full-blown war at the border, although he was exceedingly cautious in his remarks. “Of course we can’t say that there is no risk,” he said. “But we don’t know yet how high this [risk] is at the moment. … We have to monitor very deeply every day the situation.”

 

BECOME A GLOBAL INSIDER: The world is more connected than ever. It has never been more essential to identify, unpack and analyze important news, trends and decisions shaping our future — and we’ve got you covered! Every Monday, Wednesday and Friday, Global Insider author Ryan Heath navigates the global news maze and connects you to power players and events changing our world. Don’t miss out on this influential global community. Subscribe now.

 
 
NIGHTLY NUMBER

41 months

The length of the prison sentence a federal judge imposed today on Scott Fairlamb of New Jersey, a former MMA fighter and gym owner, for punching a police officer in the face during the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. The sentence was the longest yet connected to the Jan. 6 events, and Fairlamb was the first defendant charged with assaulting an officer during the attack to face sentencing.

PARTING WORDS

SCAM PAC BRUSHBACK For the last five years or more, Matt Tunstall has used the name and likeness of Donald Trump and other politicians to ostensibly raise money for a network of political action committees. But he’s been accused of pocketing most of the money himself and now, his so-called scam PAC operation finally caught up to himCaitlin Oprysko writes.

In an indictment unsealed today, federal prosecutors charged Tunstall and Robert Reyes with conspiracy to commit wire fraud and to lie to the Federal Election Committee. They allege that of the roughly $3.5 million raised by the PACs they ran during the 2016 election, “only approximately $19 were distributed to any candidate’s authorized campaign committee or to any political cause, while a total of more than $1.5 million was used to benefit” the PAC operators themselves.

Prosecutors also charged Tunstall with multiple counts of wire fraud and money laundering. The indictment charges a third associate and cousin of Tunstall, Kyle Davies, with conspiracy to commit wire fraud and to lie to the FEC and multiple counts of wire fraud.

Tunstall, 34, has been linked to a number of political action committees — including as recently as this spring — using Trump’s name in order to raise money. Campaign finance disclosures showed that those PACs contributed little or none of that money to Trump’s campaign or causes. And Tunstall has reportedly used the returns to fund a lavish lifestyle for himself, or one portrayed as such online.

 

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Watch to learn more.

 


 

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